SaaS Revenue Modeling

SaaS (Software as a Service) revenue modeling is essential for understanding and projecting the financial aspects of a SaaS business. Let’s break down the critical components of building a SaaS revenue model:

1. Forecast New Users:
  • SaaS revenue directly correlates with the number of users or accounts. Monthly Recurring Revenue (MRR) is calculated as: MRR=Users×Monthly Pricing
  • To forecast revenue, estimate the number of new users you’ll acquire over time. There are two approaches:
    1. Inbound Growth: Based on website visitors and conversion rates.
      • Example: If your website receives 10,000 monthly visitors with a 3% conversion rate, you will acquire 300 new users.
    2. Outbound Growth: Relies on sales reps’ efficiency.
      • Example: With five sales reps closing ten new accounts monthly, you’d convert 1,500 new users (assuming each account has 30 users)
2. Split Users per Tier and Billing Cycle:
  • Segment new users into different subscription plans (tiers). Assume the following distribution:
    1. Free: 40% new users
    2. Paid: 30%
    3. Premium: 20%
    4. Corporate: 10%
  • Adjust percentages if you offer monthly vs. annual billing.
3. Forecast Active Users:
  • Active users are crucial for calculating Churn Rate and Lifetime Value (LTV) metrics.
  • Understand the terms:
    1. Monthly Active Users (MAU): Users who engage with your SaaS product in a month.
    2. Daily Active Users (DAU): Users who interact with your product daily.
    3. Churn Rate: The percentage of users who stop using your service.
    4. LTV: The total revenue a user generates during their lifetime.

Remember, a well-constructed SaaS revenue model helps you make informed decisions, optimize pricing, and plan for sustainable growth.

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